Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.135235 0.149151 0.163412 0.179088 0.195805 0.213071 0.232220
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.119529 0.141497 0.165102 0.192214 0.222353 0.254694 0.291882
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.107032 0.134856 0.166006 0.203121 0.245791 0.292975 0.348753
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.092626 0.123807 0.160074 0.204742 0.257636 0.317656 0.390276
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.078662 0.111427 0.150970 0.201210 0.262339 0.333328 0.420998
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072159 0.107305 0.151031 0.207995 0.278798 0.362510 0.467515
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.065828 0.102607 0.149713 0.212533 0.292160 0.387841 0.509541
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059748 0.097549 0.147349 0.215256 0.302924 0.409855 0.547600
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053833 0.092086 0.143912 0.216131 0.311015 0.428393 0.581401
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053208 0.093994 0.150317 0.229953 0.335804 0.467968 0.641583
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.049119 0.090436 0.148895 0.233070 0.346577 0.489918 0.679991
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.046378 0.088626 0.149706 0.239069 0.361078 0.516660 0.724616
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.042036 0.084204 0.146837 0.240285 0.369815 0.536928 0.762432
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.040760 0.084592 0.151016 0.251551 0.392431 0.575715 0.824717
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039506 0.084892 0.155024 0.262639 0.415011 0.614813 0.887982
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035937 0.080921 0.152255 0.263702 0.423631 0.635475 0.927455
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031452 0.074881 0.145873 0.259107 0.424095 0.645141 0.952563
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030082 0.074284 0.147973 0.267066 0.442261 0.678653 1.009257
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.028293 0.072724 0.148391 0.272419 0.456735 0.707300 1.059783
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.026247 0.070459 0.147488 0.275639 0.468115 0.731805 1.104996
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.023989 0.067528 0.145270 0.276670 0.476237 0.751860 1.144389
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024517 0.070296 0.152811 0.293117 0.507108 0.803548 1.226711
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022908 0.068462 0.152322 0.296819 0.519247 0.829425 1.274461